0038.HK
0038.HK
CNE100000320
FIRST TRACTOR
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Pure Price Volatility Risk (Market Swings)

The business itself is financially solid (Financial Health 75/100, minimal insolvency risk). The high overall score (7/7) is driven primarily by extreme stock price swings (±39.8% p.a.) and steep historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score
7/7 Very High
7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves approx. 1.3x as much as the broader market.

Beta (Market Relation)
1.25x
Above average
Volatility (5Y p.a.)
39.8% p.a.
5-Year Horizon
Max Drawdown (5Y)
-42.7%
5-Year Horizon
Sharpe Ratio
0.33
Return / Risk
Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

Volatility Expansion (3Y > 5Y) High Volatility
Timeframe
Volatility (p.a.)
Max Drawdown
Sharpe Ratio
Return (p.a.)
1 Year — — — +19%
3 Years 43.3% -42.7% 0.58 +27.8%
5 Years 39.8% -42.7% 0.33 +15.3%
10 Years 42.7% -75.3% 0.1 +6.9%

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).
Exemplary balance sheet strength: Very solid ratio of equity to debt.
Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.
🔴 Low analyst coverage – higher uncertainty in growth estimates & projections
Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (39.8% p.a.).
Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -75.3% in the extended horizon.
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