3863.T
3863.T
JP3721600009
NIPPON PAPER INDUSTRIES CO LTD
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Elevated Business & Solvency Risk

Caution: In addition to price volatility, there are balance sheet risks due to higher debt or weaker liquidity (Health Score: 55/100).

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score
7/7 Very High
7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves noticeably less than the broader market (0.3x).

Beta (Market Relation)
0.29x
Defensive
Volatility (5Y p.a.)
29.4% p.a.
5-Year Horizon
Max Drawdown (5Y)
-41.9%
5-Year Horizon
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Return / Risk
Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

High Volatility
Timeframe
Volatility (p.a.)
Max Drawdown
Sharpe Ratio
Return (p.a.)
1 Year — — — +7.2%
3 Years 30.7% -41.5% -0.17 -2.6%
5 Years 29.4% -41.9% -0.06 +0.8%
10 Years 27.1% -64.9% -0.22 -3.6%

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).
Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.
🔴 Low analyst coverage – higher uncertainty in growth estimates & projections
Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (29.4% p.a.).
Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -64.9% in the extended horizon.

Corporate Governance & ISS Scores

Shareholder rights, board structure and audit safety (Scale 1 = Low Risk, 10 = High Risk)
Overall Governance Risk
9 ISS Score: 9 / 10
Audit Risk
1 ISS Score: 1 / 10
Board Risk
9 ISS Score: 9 / 10
Short Ratio
-
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