8616.T - Risk

Elevated Business & Solvency Risk

Caution: In addition to price volatility, there are balance sheet risks due to higher debt or weaker liquidity (Health Score: 55/100).

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score

7/7 Very High

7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves noticeably less than the broader market (0.5x).

Beta (Market Relation)

0.47x

Defensive

Volatility (5Y p.a.)

25.8% p.a.

5-Year Horizon

Max Drawdown (5Y)

-36.2%

5-Year Horizon

Sharpe Ratio

0.54

Return / Risk

Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

Volatility Expansion (3Y > 5Y)

Timeframe	Volatility (p.a.)	Max Drawdown	Sharpe Ratio	Return (p.a.)
1 Year	—	—	—	+48.2%
3 Years	28.2%	-36.2%	0.65	+21%
5 Years	25.8%	-36.2%	0.54	+16.7%
10 Years	29.1%	-74.9%	0.11	+5.6%

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).

Critical leverage: Debt-to-Equity is at 309%.

🔴 Low analyst coverage – higher uncertainty in growth estimates & projections

Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -74.9% in the extended horizon.