ECOPETROL.CL

Pure Price Volatility Risk (Market Swings)

The business itself is financially solid (Financial Health 80/100, minimal insolvency risk). The high overall score (7/7) is driven primarily by extreme stock price swings (±38.6% p.a.) and steep historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score

7/7 Very High

7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves noticeably less than the broader market (-0.0x).

Beta (Market Relation)

-0.04x

Defensive

Volatility (5Y p.a.)

38.6% p.a.

5-Year Horizon

Max Drawdown (5Y)

-56.0%

5-Year Horizon

Sharpe Ratio

-0.11

Return / Risk

Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

High Volatility

Timeframe	Volatility (p.a.)	Max Drawdown	Sharpe Ratio	Return (p.a.)
1 Year	—	—	—	+53.8%
3 Years	38.3%	-39.9%	0.01	+2.8%
5 Years	38.6%	-56.0%	-0.11	-1.5%
10 Years	36.7%	-66.8%	0.13	+7.3%

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).

Exemplary balance sheet strength: Very solid ratio of equity to debt.

Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.

🔴 Low analyst coverage – higher uncertainty in growth estimates & projections

Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (38.6% p.a.).

Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -66.8% in the extended horizon.