ELCO.TA - Risk

Elevated Business & Solvency Risk

Caution: In addition to price volatility, there are balance sheet risks due to higher debt or weaker liquidity (Health Score: 10/100).

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score

7/7 Very High

7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves noticeably less than the broader market (0.3x).

Beta (Market Relation)

0.32x

Defensive

Volatility (5Y p.a.)

37.4% p.a.

5-Year Horizon

Max Drawdown (5Y)

-68.3%

5-Year Horizon

Sharpe Ratio

-0.39

Return / Risk

Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

High Volatility

Timeframe	Volatility (p.a.)	Max Drawdown	Sharpe Ratio	Return (p.a.)
1 Year	—	—	—	-38.7%
3 Years	36.7%	-47.5%	0.02	+3.1%
5 Years	37.4%	-68.3%	-0.39	-11.5%
10 Years	36.7%	-68.3%	0.13	+7.2%

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).

Critical leverage: Debt-to-Equity is at 271%.

Unprofitable business model: The company is currently generating net losses.

🔴 High valuation risk: Avg P/E of 248.4 (Elevated multiple compression risk)

Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.

Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (37.4% p.a.).

Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -68.3% in the extended horizon.