MEL.NZ - Risk

Pure Price Volatility Risk (Market Swings)

The business itself is financially solid (Financial Health 85/100, minimal insolvency risk). The high overall score (7/7) is driven primarily by extreme stock price swings (±25.8% p.a.) and steep historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score

7/7 Very High

7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves noticeably less than the broader market (0.4x).

Beta (Market Relation)

0.44x

Defensive

Volatility (5Y p.a.)

25.8% p.a.

5-Year Horizon

Max Drawdown (5Y)

-24.5%

5-Year Horizon

Sharpe Ratio

-0.01

Return / Risk

Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

Timeframe	Volatility (p.a.)	Max Drawdown	Sharpe Ratio	Return (p.a.)
1 Year	—	—	—	-8.1%
3 Years	25.5%	-24.5%	-0.02	+2.6%
5 Years	25.8%	-24.5%	-0.01	+2.6%
10 Years	28.2%	-53.8%	0.19	+7.7%

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).

Exemplary balance sheet strength: Very solid ratio of equity to debt.

🔴 High valuation risk: Avg P/E of 110.6 (Elevated multiple compression risk)

🔴 Low analyst coverage – higher uncertainty in growth estimates & projections

Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -53.8% in the extended horizon.

Corporate Governance & ISS Scores

Shareholder rights, board structure and audit safety (Scale 1 = Low Risk, 10 = High Risk)

Overall Governance Risk

4 ISS Score: 4 / 10

Audit Risk

2 ISS Score: 2 / 10

Board Risk

5 ISS Score: 5 / 10

Short Ratio