PTRO.JK - Risk

Elevated Business & Solvency Risk

Caution: In addition to price volatility, there are balance sheet risks due to higher debt or weaker liquidity (Health Score: 40/100).

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score

7/7 Very High

7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves noticeably less than the broader market (0.7x).

Beta (Market Relation)

0.69x

Defensive

Volatility (5Y p.a.)

71.2% p.a.

5-Year Horizon

Max Drawdown (5Y)

-73.2%

5-Year Horizon

Sharpe Ratio

1.09

Return / Risk

Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

Volatility Expansion (3Y > 5Y) High Volatility

Timeframe	Volatility (p.a.)	Max Drawdown	Sharpe Ratio	Return (p.a.)
1 Year	—	—	—	-32.9%
3 Years	86.0%	-73.2%	1.7	+148.6%
5 Years	71.2%	-73.2%	1.09	+80.2%
10 Years	60.5%	-73.2%	0.85	+54.2%

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).

Critical leverage: Debt-to-Equity is at 259%.

🔴 High valuation risk: Avg P/E of 90.8 (Elevated multiple compression risk)

Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.

🔴 Low analyst coverage – higher uncertainty in growth estimates & projections

Elevated Short-Term Volatility: 3Y volatility (86.0%) is noticeably higher than the 5Y average (71.2%).

Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (71.2% p.a.).

Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -73.2% in the extended horizon.