TKIM.JK
TKIM.JK
ID1000060403
Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia Tbk
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Pure Price Volatility Risk (Market Swings)

The business itself is financially solid (Financial Health 80/100, minimal insolvency risk). The high overall score (7/7) is driven primarily by extreme stock price swings (±41.8% p.a.) and steep historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk

Transparent evaluation of price volatility (SRI), Beta, and historical drawdowns.

Volatility Risk Score
7/7 Very High
7 / 7 SRI Price Fluctuation & Beta

Very high volatility or fundamental risks. Significant loss potential; strictly for aggressive investors. Moves noticeably less than the broader market (0.3x).

Beta (Market Relation)
0.33x
Defensive
Volatility (5Y p.a.)
41.8% p.a.
5-Year Horizon
Max Drawdown (5Y)
-59.4%
5-Year Horizon
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10
Return / Risk
Speculative / High Risk: Score Basis:

Multi-Horizon Risk & Performance Matrix

Historical volatility, drawdowns, and risk-adjusted return across 1, 3, 5, and 10 years.

Volatility Expansion (3Y > 5Y) High Volatility
Timeframe
Volatility (p.a.)
Max Drawdown
Sharpe Ratio
Return (p.a.)
1 Year — — — +6.8%
3 Years 47.0% -59.4% -0.21 -7.2%
5 Years 41.8% -59.4% -0.1 -1.2%
10 Years 55.2% -79.2% 0.44 +26.9%

Automated Risk & Health Notes (Red Flags)

Single Stock Risk: Investing in an individual stock carries full company and insolvency risk (no fund diversification).
Exemplary balance sheet strength: Very solid ratio of equity to debt.
Strong cyclicality: The business model is sensitive to economic downturns.
Elevated Short-Term Volatility: 3Y volatility (47.0%) is noticeably higher than the 5Y average (41.8%).
Structurally High Volatility: Above-average fluctuations persist across 5 to 10 years (41.8% p.a.).
Historical Stress Test: Maximum peak-to-trough drawdown of -79.2% in the extended horizon.
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